In the rest of the South, Mr. Obama cannot overcome reality. Even if unprecedented numbers of black voters turn out to vote for him, the white vote will serve as a formidable counterbalance. Mr. Obama should not hope to capture states in the country’s most racially polarized region.
Tuesday, July 01, 2008
Maryland Professor: Obama Should Cede The South
In a New York Times essay, Thomas Schaller, a political science professor at the University of Maryland, breaks down the numbers in Southern states and concludes that Barack Obama cannot win there -- except in Virginia.
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The April 22 Pennsylvania primary poses a tricky challenge for Sen. Barack Obama. Downplay the contest and the risk is a blowout by Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton. But if the Illinois senator campaigns hard there and Clinton still wins handily,a loss could be tougher to spin.
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